swing horizon · brief
TSLA
Tesla
$362.86
+5.14%
PEG Score
A weighted summary of agreement between six observable conditions — never a probability that price will rise.
Market terrain
CLASSIFIEDElevation
43
Trend sub-score
Slope
1.00
20D momentum
Roughness
0.55
ATR %
Peak
0.63
Relative strength
Closing price · last 100 sessions
CALCULATEDTSLA scores 61 of 100 — constructive — with neutral trend structure, accelerating momentum and relative strength that is weak versus SPY, in a risk on market regime.
Price sits +10.58% from its 20-day average, -0.82% from its 50-day and -9.62% from its 40-week. The averages are not stacked in trend order, and price has closed above its 20-day average in 35% of the last 40 sessions. That classifies trend structure as neutral.
Rate of change reads +6.02% over 5 sessions, +15.92% over 20 and -17.60% over 60. Acceleration is +1.8 pts, meaning short-term momentum is building on its prior reading, with RSI-14 at 58. Momentum classifies as accelerating.
Against SPY, TSLA is +12.3 pts over 20 sessions and -19.6 pts over 60 — weak. Volume is confirming at 1.68× the trailing 20-session average on an up day. Volatility is expanding with ATR-14 at 3.82% of price, placing risk at elevated.
The broad tape reads Risk On — SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages; average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%; index readings are mostly aligned. Regime carries 10% of the score, but it sets the context every other reading is measured in.
Generated deterministically from the values above. Set ANTHROPIC_API_KEY to have a language model write this section instead. Every statement can be checked against the Signal Matrix.
What supports the read
- 20-day rate of change +15.92%
- Advances arriving on above-average volume
- Broad market regime is risk on
What would weaken it
- Moving averages are not stacked in trend order
- Below the 50-day average by -0.82%
- Lagging SPY by -19.6 pts over 60 sessions
- Risk classified elevated
- -27.26% from the 52-week high
Each path is described by the evidence that would characterize it — not a guess about which one happens, and not ordered by likelihood.
Continuation
Structure repairs and price reclaims its shorter averages.
- Price holds above the 20-day average (+10.58% today)
- Relative strength versus SPY stays at or above +12.3 pts
- Advances continue arriving on 1.68× or heavier volume
Stall
Conditions neither confirm nor break down; the setup goes sideways.
- Acceleration stays near +1.8 pts without turning decisively
- RSI-14 oscillates around 58 without expanding
- Price ranges between the 20 and 50-day averages rather than resolving
- ATR compresses from its current 3.82% of price
Break
Structure deteriorates and the current read no longer applies.
- A close below the 50-day average near 365.86
- Relative strength versus SPY deteriorating through the current reading
- Distribution days — declines on above-average volume
- Drawdown extending past the current 60-day maximum of -32.52%
Trend structure
NeutralSub-score 43 / 100
Momentum
AcceleratingSub-score 73 / 100
Relative strength
WeakSub-score 63 / 100
Volume
ConfirmingSub-score 80 / 100
Volatility
ExpandingSub-score 49 / 100
Risk and range
ElevatedThe long-term trend reference is a 40-week average from the weekly series, used when the retrieved daily history is shorter than a 200-day average. Values shown as — could not be computed from the retrieved history and are not estimated.
- SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages
- Average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%
- Index readings are mostly aligned
Research and education only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Market data may be delayed and is not back-adjusted for splits or dividends.