swing horizon · brief

PLTR

Palantir

$179.94

+3.44%

ExceptionalRisk OnSession Aug 21, 2026 · retrieved Aug 22, 2:04 PM · 100 sessions

PEG Score

85/ 100

A weighted summary of agreement between six observable conditions — never a probability that price will rise.

Trend Structure100· 30% weight
Momentum95· 20% weight
Relative Strength100· 20% weight
Volume Confirmation58· 10% weight
Volatility Quality32· 10% weight
Market Regime73· 10% weight

Market terrain

CLASSIFIED

Elevation

100

Trend sub-score

Slope

1.00

20D momentum

Roughness

0.61

ATR %

Peak

1.00

Relative strength

Closing price · last 100 sessions

CALCULATED
The read
CLASSIFIED

PLTR scores 85 of 100 — exceptional — with constructive trend structure, accelerating momentum and relative strength that is leading versus SPY, in a risk on market regime.

Price sits +14.41% from its 20-day average, +29.52% from its 50-day and +20.25% from its 40-week. The averages are not stacked in trend order, and price has closed above its 20-day average in 70% of the last 40 sessions. That classifies trend structure as constructive.

Rate of change reads +3.39% over 5 sessions, +46.39% over 20 and +35.79% over 60. Acceleration is +2.2 pts, meaning short-term momentum is building on its prior reading, with RSI-14 at 69. Momentum classifies as accelerating.

Against SPY, PLTR is +42.8 pts over 20 sessions and +33.8 pts over 60 — leading. Volume is normal at 0.88× the trailing 20-session average on an up day. Volatility is expanding with ATR-14 at 4.28% of price, placing risk at elevated.

The broad tape reads Risk On — SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages; average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%; index readings are mostly aligned. Regime carries 10% of the score, but it sets the context every other reading is measured in.

Generated deterministically from the values above. Set ANTHROPIC_API_KEY to have a language model write this section instead. Every statement can be checked against the Signal Matrix.

What supports the read

  • Above the 40-week average by +20.25%
  • 20-day rate of change +46.39%
  • Outperforming SPY by +33.8 pts over 60 sessions
  • Broad market regime is risk on

What would weaken it

  • Moving averages are not stacked in trend order
  • Risk classified elevated
Scenario map

Each path is described by the evidence that would characterize it — not a guess about which one happens, and not ordered by likelihood.

Continuation

Structure holds and the current alignment persists.

  • Price holds above the 20-day average (+14.41% today)
  • Relative strength versus SPY stays at or above +42.8 pts
  • Advances continue arriving on 0.88× or heavier volume

Stall

Conditions neither confirm nor break down; the setup goes sideways.

  • Acceleration stays near +2.2 pts without turning decisively
  • RSI-14 oscillates around 69 without expanding
  • Price ranges between the 20 and 50-day averages rather than resolving
  • ATR compresses from its current 4.28% of price

Break

Structure deteriorates and the current read no longer applies.

  • A close below the 50-day average near 138.93
  • Relative strength versus SPY deteriorating through the current reading
  • Distribution days — declines on above-average volume
  • Drawdown extending past the current 60-day maximum of -33.23%
Signal matrix

Trend structure

Constructive

Sub-score 100 / 100

SMA 20$157.27
SMA 50$138.93
SMA 40W$149.64
Distance to 20D+14.41%
Distance to 50D+29.52%
Distance to 40W+20.25%
Averages stackedNo
Persistence (40 sessions)70%

Momentum

Accelerating

Sub-score 95 / 100

Rate of change 5D+3.39%
Rate of change 20D+46.39%
Rate of change 60D+35.79%
Acceleration+2.2 pts
RSI 14 (Wilder)69.4

Relative strength

Leading

Sub-score 100 / 100

vs SPY · 20D+42.8 pts
vs SPY · 60D+33.8 pts
vs QQQ · 20D+42.1 pts
vs QQQ · 60D+38.0 pts

Volume

Normal

Sub-score 58 / 100

Average volume 20D47.64M
Relative volume0.88×
Latest sessionUp day

Volatility

Expanding

Sub-score 32 / 100

ATR 14$7.70
ATR as % of price4.28%
Realized vol 20D105.9%
Max drawdown 60D-33.23%

Risk and range

Elevated
52-week high$207.52
52-week low$106.37
From 52-week high-13.29%
From 52-week low+69.16%
Risk classificationElevated

The long-term trend reference is a 40-week average from the weekly series, used when the retrieved daily history is shorter than a 200-day average. Values shown as — could not be computed from the retrieved history and are not estimated.

Market regime
Risk On73 / 100
Mostly alignedMomentum risingVolatility normal
SPY+0.41%
20D change+3.63%
Above averages20 · 50 · 40W
QQQ+0.35%
20D change+4.27%
Above averages20 · 40W
IWM+0.77%
20D change+3.02%
Above averages20 · 50 · 40W
  • SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages
  • Average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%
  • Index readings are mostly aligned

Research and education only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Market data may be delayed and is not back-adjusted for splits or dividends.