swing horizon · brief
GOOGL
Alphabet
$344.82
+1.22%
PEG Score
A weighted summary of agreement between six observable conditions — never a probability that price will rise.
Market terrain
CLASSIFIEDElevation
49
Trend sub-score
Slope
0.52
20D momentum
Roughness
0.39
ATR %
Peak
0.49
Relative strength
Closing price · last 100 sessions
CALCULATEDGOOGL scores 54 of 100 — mixed — with neutral trend structure, accelerating momentum and relative strength that is weak versus SPY, in a risk on market regime.
Price sits -1.03% from its 20-day average, -1.98% from its 50-day and +2.88% from its 40-week. The averages are not stacked in trend order, and price has closed above its 20-day average in 38% of the last 40 sessions. That classifies trend structure as neutral.
Rate of change reads -0.31% over 5 sessions, +7.84% over 20 and -11.32% over 60. Acceleration is +2.1 pts, meaning short-term momentum is building on its prior reading, with RSI-14 at 47. Momentum classifies as accelerating.
Against SPY, GOOGL is +4.2 pts over 20 sessions and -13.4 pts over 60 — weak. Volume is light at 0.77× the trailing 20-session average on an up day. Volatility is orderly with ATR-14 at 2.71% of price, placing risk at moderate.
The broad tape reads Risk On — SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages; average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%; index readings are mostly aligned. Regime carries 10% of the score, but it sets the context every other reading is measured in.
Generated deterministically from the values above. Set ANTHROPIC_API_KEY to have a language model write this section instead. Every statement can be checked against the Signal Matrix.
What supports the read
- Above the 40-week average by +2.88%
- 20-day rate of change +7.84%
- Volatility orderly — ATR 2.71% of price
- Broad market regime is risk on
What would weaken it
- Moving averages are not stacked in trend order
- Below the 50-day average by -1.98%
- Lagging SPY by -13.4 pts over 60 sessions
- -15.61% from the 52-week high
Each path is described by the evidence that would characterize it — not a guess about which one happens, and not ordered by likelihood.
Continuation
Structure repairs and price reclaims its shorter averages.
- Price holds above the 20-day average (-1.03% today)
- Relative strength versus SPY stays at or above +4.2 pts
- Advances continue arriving on 0.77× or heavier volume
Stall
Conditions neither confirm nor break down; the setup goes sideways.
- Acceleration stays near +2.1 pts without turning decisively
- RSI-14 oscillates around 47 without expanding
- Price ranges between the 20 and 50-day averages rather than resolving
- ATR compresses from its current 2.71% of price
Break
Structure deteriorates and the current read no longer applies.
- A close below the 50-day average near 351.77
- Relative strength versus SPY deteriorating through the current reading
- Distribution days — declines on above-average volume
- Drawdown extending past the current 60-day maximum of -18.57%
Trend structure
NeutralSub-score 49 / 100
Momentum
AcceleratingSub-score 57 / 100
Relative strength
WeakSub-score 49 / 100
Volume
LightSub-score 45 / 100
Volatility
OrderlySub-score 62 / 100
Risk and range
ModerateThe long-term trend reference is a 40-week average from the weekly series, used when the retrieved daily history is shorter than a 200-day average. Values shown as — could not be computed from the retrieved history and are not estimated.
- SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages
- Average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%
- Index readings are mostly aligned
Research and education only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Market data may be delayed and is not back-adjusted for splits or dividends.