swing horizon · brief
AVGO
Broadcom
$368.45
+1.21%
PEG Score
A weighted summary of agreement between six observable conditions — never a probability that price will rise.
Market terrain
CLASSIFIEDElevation
48
Trend sub-score
Slope
-0.24
20D momentum
Roughness
0.59
ATR %
Peak
0.19
Relative strength
Closing price · last 100 sessions
CALCULATEDAVGO scores 42 of 100 — mixed — with weakening trend structure, fading momentum and relative strength that is weak versus SPY, in a risk on market regime.
Price sits -6.97% from its 20-day average, -5.16% from its 50-day and -0.04% from its 40-week. The averages are stacked 20 above 50 above 40-week, and price has closed above its 20-day average in 55% of the last 40 sessions. That classifies trend structure as weakening.
Rate of change reads -6.24% over 5 sessions, -3.53% over 20 and -12.66% over 60. Acceleration is +1.9 pts, meaning short-term momentum is building on its prior reading, with RSI-14 at 39. Momentum classifies as fading.
Against SPY, AVGO is -7.2 pts over 20 sessions and -14.7 pts over 60 — weak. Volume is normal at 0.96× the trailing 20-session average on an up day. Volatility is expanding with ATR-14 at 4.15% of price, placing risk at elevated.
The broad tape reads Risk On — SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages; average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%; index readings are mostly aligned. Regime carries 10% of the score, but it sets the context every other reading is measured in.
Generated deterministically from the values above. Set ANTHROPIC_API_KEY to have a language model write this section instead. Every statement can be checked against the Signal Matrix.
What supports the read
- Moving averages stacked in trend order
- Broad market regime is risk on
What would weaken it
- Below the 50-day average by -5.16%
- Lagging SPY by -14.7 pts over 60 sessions
- Risk classified elevated
- -25.57% from the 52-week high
Each path is described by the evidence that would characterize it — not a guess about which one happens, and not ordered by likelihood.
Continuation
Structure repairs and price reclaims its shorter averages.
- Moving averages remain stacked 20 above 50 above 40-week
- Price holds above the 20-day average (-6.97% today)
- Relative strength versus SPY stays at or above -7.2 pts
- Advances continue arriving on 0.96× or heavier volume
Stall
Conditions neither confirm nor break down; the setup goes sideways.
- Acceleration stays near +1.9 pts without turning decisively
- RSI-14 oscillates around 39 without expanding
- Price ranges between the 20 and 50-day averages rather than resolving
- ATR compresses from its current 4.15% of price
Break
Structure deteriorates and the current read no longer applies.
- A close below the 50-day average near 388.50
- Relative strength versus SPY deteriorating through the current reading
- Distribution days — declines on above-average volume
- Drawdown extending past the current 60-day maximum of -25.15%
Trend structure
WeakeningSub-score 48 / 100
Momentum
FadingSub-score 30 / 100
Relative strength
WeakSub-score 19 / 100
Volume
NormalSub-score 58 / 100
Volatility
ExpandingSub-score 48 / 100
Risk and range
ElevatedThe long-term trend reference is a 40-week average from the weekly series, used when the retrieved daily history is shorter than a 200-day average. Values shown as — could not be computed from the retrieved history and are not estimated.
- SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages
- Average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%
- Index readings are mostly aligned
Research and education only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Market data may be delayed and is not back-adjusted for splits or dividends.