swing horizon · brief
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
$473.25
+0.81%
PEG Score
A weighted summary of agreement between six observable conditions — never a probability that price will rise.
Market terrain
CLASSIFIEDElevation
45
Trend sub-score
Slope
-0.62
20D momentum
Roughness
0.86
ATR %
Peak
0.15
Relative strength
Closing price · last 100 sessions
CALCULATEDAMD scores 33 of 100 — weakening — with neutral trend structure, negative momentum and relative strength that is lagging versus SPY, in a risk on market regime.
Price sits -1.63% from its 20-day average, -7.25% from its 50-day and +40.97% from its 40-week. The averages are not stacked in trend order, and price has closed above its 20-day average in 40% of the last 40 sessions. That classifies trend structure as neutral.
Rate of change reads -8.00% over 5 sessions, -9.33% over 20 and -4.50% over 60. Acceleration is -14.4 pts, meaning short-term momentum is giving back its prior reading, with RSI-14 at 46. Momentum classifies as negative.
Against SPY, AMD is -13.0 pts over 20 sessions and -6.5 pts over 60 — lagging. Volume is light at 0.53× the trailing 20-session average on an up day. Volatility is disorderly with ATR-14 at 6.00% of price, placing risk at elevated.
The broad tape reads Risk On — SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages; average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%; index readings are mostly aligned. Regime carries 10% of the score, but it sets the context every other reading is measured in.
Generated deterministically from the values above. Set ANTHROPIC_API_KEY to have a language model write this section instead. Every statement can be checked against the Signal Matrix.
What supports the read
- Above the 40-week average by +40.97%
- Broad market regime is risk on
What would weaken it
- Moving averages are not stacked in trend order
- Below the 50-day average by -7.25%
- Momentum decelerating at -14.4 pts
- Lagging SPY by -6.5 pts over 60 sessions
- Risk classified elevated
- -19.07% from the 52-week high
Each path is described by the evidence that would characterize it — not a guess about which one happens, and not ordered by likelihood.
Continuation
Structure repairs and price reclaims its shorter averages.
- Price holds above the 20-day average (-1.63% today)
- Relative strength versus SPY stays at or above -13.0 pts
- Advances continue arriving on 0.53× or heavier volume
Stall
Conditions neither confirm nor break down; the setup goes sideways.
- Acceleration stays near -14.4 pts without turning decisively
- RSI-14 oscillates around 46 without expanding
- Price ranges between the 20 and 50-day averages rather than resolving
- ATR compresses from its current 6.00% of price
Break
Structure deteriorates and the current read no longer applies.
- A close below the 50-day average near 510.23
- Relative strength versus SPY deteriorating through the current reading
- Distribution days — declines on above-average volume
- Drawdown extending past the current 60-day maximum of -26.05%
Trend structure
NeutralSub-score 45 / 100
Momentum
NegativeSub-score 14 / 100
Relative strength
LaggingSub-score 15 / 100
Volume
LightSub-score 37 / 100
Volatility
DisorderlySub-score 27 / 100
Risk and range
ElevatedThe long-term trend reference is a 40-week average from the weekly series, used when the retrieved daily history is shorter than a 200-day average. Values shown as — could not be computed from the retrieved history and are not estimated.
- SPY is above its 20-day, 50-day and 40-week averages
- Average 20-day change across indices is +3.6%
- Index readings are mostly aligned
Research and education only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Market data may be delayed and is not back-adjusted for splits or dividends.